Sunday, August 14, 2005

How will Bush close out the failed Iraq War?

America has no further chance to win in Iraq. The truth is finally sinking in to the American people and to the media punditocracy. Kos of the Daily Kos, responding to a Washington Post column by Frank Rich has this to say:
Frank Rich becomes the first mainstream columnist to say out loud what we have been saying for some time -- there are no more corners to turn in Iraq. There are no solutions to this Debacle. Bush has failed. Now we must find a way out that best serves the interests and the security of the United States and the world.
Iraq has been a war based on the political opportunity provided by 9/11 and conducted for reasons the Bush administration has never seen fit to honestly divulge. The political management of the war has reached a level of political incompetence this nation has never before suffered. (See While America bleeds in Iraq, Iran is winning the Middle East
.)Political decisions in which there are conflicts between between reason and experience, ideology, political opportunism and graft have invariably placed graft and idology as the highest priorities and ignored reasonand the warnings of experts.

Bush's Iraq War has been a jury-rigged contrivence, based on no real plan and in many cases conducted in spite of reasonable advice. When the various things have (inevitibly) gone wrong, the administration has publicly refused to acknowlege problems while privately when forced to recognize problems that won't go away, they have attempted ad hoc "fixes" such as the elections last January forced on the unwilling administration by Mullah Sistani. The absence of a plan, or even any serious consideration of how to handle the war in Iraq is clearly demonstraded by the fact that only now, over two years into the war, is the White House actually setting up administrative "interagency Groups" to decide what the priorities are in Iraq and how to deal with them.

They aren't acting to SOLVE the problems in Iraq. Oh, no! They are rearranging administrative deck chairs to try to decide if they HAVE problems in Iraq.

Over two years after the invasion and they don't even know what the problems are! I guess it takes NeoCons and conservatives a while to admit that they don't have all the answers. Watch what will happen, though. They are going to make some decisions (politically they have to) and then they will trumpet those as THE answers to solve the problems and no one else should object. We will all be expected to fall in behind the Glorious Leader and march to his tune.

Never mind that the Bush administration and our most Glorious Leader have proven that they could not manage a dog fight between angry willing dogs.

As I have been predicting for over half a year, the U.S. is going to declare victory in the Summer and pull most of the troops out by early September 2006. The rest will be moved to hardened locations where they don't take further casualties. This timing is controlled by the November 2006 U.S. elections, not by anything that happens in Iraq.

The Iraqi Civil War will then blow up, but we will hear little of it in the two months before the election. Western reporters are not going to be especially well treated in Iraq, as they are not now, and our media won't pick up news from foreign sources. Georgie Anne Geyer describes how Iraq will then take over the central portion of the Middle East from the Persian Gulf to the Mediterranean.

The Republicans are then going to try to retain power by blaming Clinton, the Democrats and Cindy Sheehan. They will also try to frighten the American public with threats of the Iranian Menace. They will also be threatening the Iranians so that they act threatening to Americans. Since this will keep the Mullahs in power in Iran, they will be glad to cooperate with the American republican conservatives.

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