The recent announcements by Iraqi and Iranian politicians in Tehran of their planned joint activities rather clearly shows that the outcome of invading Iraq has been to create a broad swath of political Shiite power across the middle of the Middle East.
One reason why Bush I refrained from continuing the Gulf War into Baghdad was to prevent this very combination of Iranian and Iraqi Shiites.
Juan Cole has an excellent article on the subject in Salon (Day pass or subscription required.)
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