[The Hill] Rep. Mark Souder (R-Ind.) told a group of NRA members at a fund raiser that the withdrawal of 20,000 to 40,000 troops from Iraq in the Fall would improve election prospects for Republican candidates in November. It would amount to "an October Surprise" since it would indicate that the U.S. was making progress in Iraq.
Rep. Souder rejected the idea that the troops would be withdrawn for U.S. domestic political reasons, however. Such a withdrawal has already been announced.
[In the Summer of 2005 I started predicting that the Bush administration would conduct this troop withdrawal just prior to the 2005 election. If done, it will be entirely for domestic U.S. political reasons. It will also very probably be reversed in the Spring of 2007 as the violence in Iraq increases. - RB]
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