The previous Post gave a brief analysis why we are likely to have to stay in Iraq a good deal longer.
Kos today explains why the military is not making its' recruitment quotas, and why they are unlikely to do so in the future. The key is that public support for in the war is dropping sharply and parents are discouraging their children from enlisting. The U.S. is going to have to either institute a draft or get the devil out of Iraq.
A draft is unlikely to pass Congress because the war is so unpopular. But this assume that Republicans are sensible and Bush doesn't get caught up in his hubris and try to bull a draft through in spite of its' unpopularity. If the Republicans ignore the unpopularity of the Iraq war and push a draft through anyway, the Republican party will be out of power nationally at the next election.
The only conclusion left is that we will be out of Iraq before the 2006 election.
I hope the Iraqi government is ready for that.
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