Monday, June 06, 2005

More than just an interesting Summer

Ethics concerns may put control of the House in 2006 within range of Democratic prospects. The Washington Post has an article today that should give Democrats real hope.

"In what Republican strategists call "the DeLay effect," questions plaguing House Majority Leader Tom DeLay (R-Tex.) are starting to hurt his fellow party members, who are facing news coverage of their own trips and use of relatives on their campaign payrolls. Liberal interest groups have begun running advertising in districts where Republicans may be in trouble, trying to tie the incumbents to their leaders' troubles."

Ruy Teixeira points out that the Democrats need only a net gain of 15 House seats to get the House back. Not only are a number of previously safe Republican seats appearing to go into play, "...15 House seats is close to the average mid-term loss of the Party occupying the white house. Looking at the average loss of the President's party in the last five "six-year itch" elections (see May 31 post below), the number is considerably more encouraging -- 44 seats."

The outcome of this Summers' political festivities (see previous blog - Look for interesting Summer) will very probably have a large impact on the 2006 elections.

Wish I thought the situation in Iraq was as likely to yield a similar good resolution. The choices there still have no prospects for anything but a bad or worse result over the next several years. See Iraq to be a long, slow slog.

No comments: