Anyone who thinks that all the national indicators that are going against the Republicans mean likely takeovers of the House and Senate for the Democrats need to go read the micro analysis by Ruy Teixeira.
He explains the national trends (the macro analysis) and then moves into an aggregated version of each Congressional Districe and Senate race (the micro analysis.) The micro analysis considers the political structure that the macro analysis ignores, and the Republicans have the structural advantage.
Read the analysis. It will explain clearly what I mean.
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